Friday 22 October 2010

IMS FX Morning Report 22-10-2010

IMS FX MORNING REPORT for Friday 22nd October 2010

Today's Interbank rates -

POUNDS TO US DOLLARS 1.5689
POUNDS TO EUROS 1.1282
POUNDS TO AUSTRALIAN DOLLARS 1.6045


EUROS TO US DOLLARS 1.3906
EUROS TO POUNDS 0.8863
EUROS TO AUSTRALIAN DOLLARS 1.4222


POUND HEADLINES:

  • Retail sales fell again for September, the second month
    in succession they have declined, official data has shown. Sales last month
    were 0.2% lower than August, led by falls in clothing and car fuel sales,
    said the ONS
  • Mervyn King stated that the economy was still 'barely
    growing at all' and added that it was a 'key role' for the bank to provide
    stimulus when the economy was in need. The bank has so far put £200bn into
    the economy through QE. Some economists now expect the Bank could inject at
    least another £100bn into the economy following the next meeting of its
    Monetary Policy Committee at the start of November
  • House sales in the UK fell in September for the second
    month in a row, HM revenue and Customs figures have shown. Completed sales
    in September were 78k down from 82k in August and slightly lower than in
    September last year. This was the first year-on-year fall in sales in 2010.
    This follows on from Wednesdays news when the CML announced that total
    mortgage lending in September had been £12bn, the lowest September since
    2000
  • Main focus for Sterling now will be next weeks 3rd
    quarter GDP figures. The problem for Sterling is the consistent speculation
    about quantitative easing. Any currency that has that prospect hanging over
    it is likely to underperform
EURO HEADLINES:


  • Strong German data has been released this morning as
    German IFO business climate comes back at 107.6 beating expectations of
    106.5. This is one of the country's key business sentiment surveys. As the
    largest economy in the Eurozone, the German IFO is a significant economic
    health indicator for the Eurozone as a whole
  • Today also sees two ECB speakers in Action, Carlos Costa
    and Ewald Nowotny
  • Sterling has now hit a 6.5 month low against the Euro
    after weak UK retail sales data increases concerns that the bank of England
    may opt to inject more stimulus into the faltering economy
US DOLLAR HEADLINES:


  • Initial jobless claims fell 23k last week to 452k. Prior
    reading revised from 462k to 475k. Also US continuing claims fell from a
    revised 4450k to 4441k in the week ended Oct 9th (4420k expected)
  • US leading indicators rose 0.3% in September, as
    expected. US Philadelphia Fed Index rose from -0.7% to 1.0% in October, less
    than 2.0% expected. Feds Bullard calls unemployment 'unusually' high and
    'persistent'. He says it is unclear how weak financial systems may hinder
    recovery
  • The dollar has been boosted with investors cautious of
    the holding onto risky positions ahead of the G20 meeting in South Korea,
    which began today
If you need to buy, sell or make an international payment today then please
call me for a free quote.



Kris Charalambides

FX Broker

kris@imsfx.co.uk

www.imsfx.co.uk

Tel: 0207 183 2790

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