Today's Interbank rates -
POUNDS TO US DOLLARS 1.5480
POUNDS TO EUROS 1.1804
POUNDS TO AUSTRALIAN DOLLARS 1.5526
EUROS TO US DOLLARS 1.3114
EUROS TO POUNDS 0.8471
EUROS TO AUSTRALIAN DOLLARS 1.3149
POUND HEADLINES:
- Today's focus will be on the UK services PMI for
December. Markets will hope for a positive surprise similar to that seen in
the manufacturing release earlier this week. - UK services PMI is a dangerous number for sterling today.
With data elsewhere on the positive side, a weak UK number could make
sterling the funding currency of choice, given the hit still to come this
year from fiscal austerity measures. - Despite a disappointing reading of activity in the
UK's construction sector, sterling gained a cent against a weaker euro
yesterday and has touched a three-week high this morning.
- Germany's factory orders for November are published today
and are likely to show material signs of softening in the wake of more
recent declines in key Asian PMI's. - Also today it is expected the Eurozone business
confidence indicator to rise in December based on stronger domestic surveys,
while the final reading of consumer confidence is also due. - While the Euro suffered initially on strong US data, the
Euro tends to benefit in more benign risk conditions, and already is at
quite extended levels against the commodity currencies which would normally
benefit from risk positive news. While sovereign debt concerns remain,
evidence of strong growth globally will tend to moderate these concerns too,
and may limit negative sentiment towards the Euro.
- In the US, this weeks jobless claims will continue to
drip-feed labour market news in the wake of yesterdays strong ADP payrolls
survey. - Claims fell to their lowest level in 2.5 years last week.
This will be the final teaser before tomorrows payrolls release. - The USD benefited from the rise in ADP employment, but
sustained USD gains will require some genuine belief that US rates are set
to rise this year, and that will require several months of payroll gains of
more than 300k.
call me for a free quote.
Kris Charalambides
Tel: 0207 183 2790
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